A Data-Informed Approach to Promotion and Marketing Spend Optimization in Thrift Retailing

SITUATION

A leading West Coast thrift retailer with $350M in revenue faced a critical need to optimize its promotional and marketing spending to support its growth plan.

Despite experiencing double-digit growth via acquisitions, the client lacked foundational analytics to evaluate pricing strategies and digital marketing effectiveness, posing a risk to their anticipated revenue targets.


 

A prominent thrift retailer on the West Coast, generating $350M in annual revenue, primarily relied on in-store sales. The retailer had been enjoying robust growth, mainly fueled by strategic acquisitions. However, the company faced a looming challenge: optimizing the 20-30% of its revenue spent on promotions and marketing to ensure these expenditures yielded better returns.

  • Without a robust analytical framework, the retailer struggled to assess the effectiveness of its pricing strategies and digital marketing efforts. This gap in foundational analytics posed a significant threat to their five-year growth plan, which hinged on transforming pricing and marketing into powerful growth engines. Addressing this need was imperative to avoid a revenue shortfall and sustain their aggressive growth trajectory.

 

Prioritizing Revenue Growth analytics projects based on impact and effort.

 

ACTION

We implemented comprehensive analytical models to guide strategic couponing, promotional bundling, and shopper profiling.

We also developed a custom analytics dashboard to facilitate ongoing optimization of pricing and marketing strategies.


We initiated a series of strategic actions to address these challenges and build a robust analytical foundation. First, we developed precise price elasticity models to guide strategic couponing and promotion structuring across various product categories. These models enabled the retailer to optimize promotions for increased sales and profit margins.

We then conducted market basket and affinity analyses to inform promotional bundling strategies and identify cross-selling opportunities. These analyses provided insights into which products were frequently purchased together, allowing for more effective promotion of bundled deals.

  • In addition, we evaluated shopper traffic patterns to devise cross-promotion strategies that enhanced consumer engagement. By integrating demographic and psychographic data, we refined shopper profiling and optimized the marketing mix, with a particular focus on email campaigns targeting high-value customer segments.

    We led design sessions to build a custom analytics dashboard to ensure the sustainability of these efforts. This dashboard provided a centralized platform for ongoing pricing and marketing optimization, enabling clients to continuously monitor and adjust their strategies based on real-time data insights.

 

Our approach for Price Elasticity Modeling using regularized regression

 
 
 

OBSTACLES

The client faced significant challenges in quantifying the financial impact of their marketing expenditures and understanding price sensitivities and customer behaviors.

Disconnected transactional data complicated promotional analytics, making it difficult to derive actionable insights.


 

One of the client's significant hurdles was the difficulty in quantifying the financial impact of their marketing and promotional investments. This lack of clarity impeded the ability to make informed decisions about where to allocate resources for maximum return on investment.

  • Moreover, there was an insufficient understanding of price sensitivities and promotional ROIs. The client lacked insights into how different customer segments responded to various pricing strategies, which hampered the development of targeted marketing campaigns. The inadequate insights into shopper behaviors, particularly concerning coupon usage and digital engagement, further compounded the problem, making it challenging to tailor marketing efforts effectively.

    The complexity of promotional analytics was exacerbated by disconnected data streams. Price discounting and coupon transactional data were not integrated with sales transactions, resulting in a fragmented view that prolonged and complicated the analysis process. This disconnection made it challenging to derive meaningful insights and implement timely, data-driven decisions.


 

Price Elasticity modeling using ElasticNet revealed opportunities for Promotion and Markdown optimization

 

RESULTS

We identified $80M in growth opportunities, reallocated marketing budgets for enhanced effectiveness, and established advanced analytics for informed strategic decisions, positioning the retailer for sustained growth.


 

Our comprehensive analytical approach yielded significant results. We identified $80M in growth opportunities, 60% of which potential stemmed from refined promotional and marketing strategies. By reallocating the marketing budget towards high-efficiency, low-saturation channels, we substantially enhanced the effectiveness of the client's marketing spend.

The establishment of advanced analytics empowered the client to make more informed strategic decisions regarding Revenue Growth Management.

  • This data-driven approach directly bolstered their profitability and strengthened their market position, ensuring they were well-equipped to meet their revenue targets.

    In the long term, our strategic insights and actionable recommendations on promotion and marketing investments positioned the retailer for sustained growth.

    The company was better equipped to navigate market fluctuations and maintain its competitive edge, ensuring a robust growth trajectory well into the future.

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